- w3.catch of the week
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- We all have been waiting for this
We all have been waiting for this
๐ฃ w3.catch-of-the-week cw45
GMGM and welcome to the ๐ฃ w3.catch-of-the-week the newsletter that was flooded with catches this week.
But don't worry, I'm here for you with a finely curated selection of news that will give you a short and crisp overview of what's trickling through the noise.
Before I tell you what this is all about:
WE ARE GOING TO BUILD A STRATEGIC BITCOIN RESERVE ๐บ๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ ๐บ๐ธ
โ Senator Cynthia Lummis (@SenLummis)
5:05 PM โข Nov 6, 2024
Let's make sure you know about the most important events. So that you can exchange ideas with like-minded people.
๐ฅ Web3 by Night with Jรคgermeister & w3.hub - Tonight
๐ Blockdaemon, Bitbond, & BISON - 14th Nov.
๐ฆ Dyno Winter Bash - 16th Nov.
๐ผ๏ธ Onchain Art Berlin (OGC x Aura) - 28th Nov.
๐ w3.hub XMAS Party - 5th Dec.
๐ฎ Trumpโs Crypto Promise
โค๏ธโ๐ฅ Banger Events in Berlin
๐ณ State of Prediction Markets
๐ค Work for w3.group
๐ What Crypto Trends are we watching closely?
๐ ๏ธ Web3 made in Germany
๐ฅ Spicy Take
What impact has Trump on Crypto?
Disclaimer: This analysis provides an objective overview of potential cryptocurrency regulatory impacts based on available information. The content is intended to inform about potential market developments and does not represent political endorsement or opposition to any party.
Allia iacta est - The die is cast: The 47th president of the USA is Donald Trump. Our newsletter is by no means about politics, but I can't avoid reporting on the potential influence on the crypto market.
Here is what Trump has promised:
First things first: Replace SEC Leadership
Quick reminder what happens to Gensler on day one ๐คฃ
โ Legendary (@legendarygainz_)
8:25 AM โข Nov 6, 2024
๐๐ฝ Pledged to fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler "on day one"
๐๐ฝ Aims to install more crypto-friendly regulators
๐๐ฝ Top candidate for the position seems to be โCrypto Momโ, Hester Peirce
โ๏ธ BREAKING: Hester Peirce has presumably turned down the offer. Robinhood Legal Chief Dan Gallagher now seems the most likely candidate to take over.
Create a Bitcoin Advisory Council
๐๐ฝ Proposed a "Bitcoin and crypto presidential advisory council"
๐๐ฝ Goal: Create regulations "written by people who love your industry"
The more important election for our industry
โ Lasse Clausen (@lalleclausen)
3:42 AM โข Nov 6, 2024
Block Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC)
๐๐ฝ Vowed "There will never be a CBDC while I'm president"
๐๐ฝ Considers CBDCs a "dangerous threat to freedomโ
National Bitcoin Stockpile
๐๐ฝ He promised to keep 100% of Bitcoin currently held by the U.S. government (primary sources are from crimes like Silk Road)
๐๐ฝ Positioning Bitcoin as a "strategic national assetโ
But that seems rather unrealistic since:
Legal experts criticize the proposal
Concerns about diverting seized assets from victim compensation
Former prosecutors argue the plan contradicts current forfeiture laws
Promote U.S. Crypto Dominance
๐๐ฝ Wants to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the world"
๐๐ฝ He wants all remaining Bitcoin to be mined in the USA (obviously not possible)
Expand Stablecoin Framework
๐๐ฝ Committed to creating regulatory guidelines for stablecoins
๐๐ฝ Facilitate the growth of stablecoins
๐๐ฝ Goal: Extend U.S. dollar dominance and to counter rise of alternative foreign currencies
Pardon for Ross Ulbricht
"If you vote for me, on day one I will commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht"
๐๐ฝ Ulbricht sentenced to double life sentence in 2015
๐๐ฝ Convicted for operating Silk Road
Berlin Builders: Letโs talk Blockchain
Meet like-minded people, hear from executives and enjoy the good vibes at our w3.hub ๐.
๐๏ธ 14th November, from 5pm
Get your free ticket via the button ๐๐ฝ
XMAS Community Party by w3.hub
We would like to wrap up the year together with our w3.hub community and the closest members of our network.
๐ท Yes, there will be Glรผhwein (mulled wine)!
There will also be gifts, festive songs and other treats ๐.
State of Prediction Markets
Here is a picture of how Polymarket began from CEO Shayne Coplan.
2020, running out of money, solo founder, HQ in my makeshift bathroom office. little did I know Polymarket was going to change the world.
โ Shayne Coplan (@shayne_coplan)
8:57 PM โข Nov 6, 2024
Polymarket is now a popular prediction market that Vitalik Buterin and Elon Musk, among others, have spoken out in favor of.
The prediction market has gained attention and volume primarily due to the betting surrounding the US election. Polymarket processed $3.5 billion in trading volume during the election.
Compared with other prediction markets, it has proven to be the market leader.
Total volume in presidential winner market, by platform.
@Polymarket with 84% share (among this group*)
@Kalshi 10%
@Betfair 6%
@PredictIt 1%
@smarkets 0.3%ForecastEx (traded through Robinhood and IBKR) would be in 2nd place, but we don't have their cumulative volume.
โ The Super Model (@TheSuper_Model)
5:44 PM โข Nov 6, 2024
There has been much discussion about the extent to which Polymarket's forecasts are biased, as they are based on the money invested by individuals. But the fact is that Polymarket was shockingly accurate.
Why Polymarket Was More Accurate
Markets incorporate diverse information without ideological bias
Traders are incentivized to be correct, not to create drama
๐ Nevertheless, it is important to note that it was one event from which one should not draw holistic conclusions. I see it as an interesting tool that provides an alternative view of how likely the open market considers certain events to be.
๐ค Big Winner: A mysterious French whale wagered over $40 million on polymarket bets over several accounts and recorded a net profit of over $75 million.
1/ Itโs been widely reported that one whale, allegedly a French man named Theo, controlled 4 @Polymarket accounts and had significant positions betting on a Trump win. We estimate he profited ~$78.7M.
โ Chainalysis (@chainalysis)
10:49 PM โข Nov 6, 2024
The French National Gaming Authority also seems to have caught wind of the win, as they are now considering banning Polymarket.
Regulators are examining Polymarket's operations and compliance with French gambling laws, potentially blocking access to the platform for French users.
We unveil our crypto market strategy
Julius Nagel, Fund Manager of w3.wave, has been invited to the BTC Echo podcast. He talked about the following:
What is a liquid token fund and what strategy are we pursuing with w3.wave?
What trends is Julius currently looking at in the crypto market?
Where are we on the adoption curve of blockchain technology?
w3.group is looking for an Event-Manager
We're seeking an energetic hands-on individual that manages Web3 events across our Berlin hub and international destinations like London, Zรผrich, and Lisbon.
In this pivotal role, you'll directly engage with top Web3 innovators, transform our event spaces, and drive community connections that shape the future of decentralized technology.
Web3 Builders from Germany
We are back with a fresh version of the overview on Web3 contributors from Germany.
We are not done: Are you part of a Web3 company or do you know one that is not yet on the map? Let's keep the momentum going and keep expanding the map.
Solana will hit $420 within the next 69 days (No financial advise).
How likely do you think it is? Let's discuss it in our Telegram group.
Ledgers 10 Year Anniversary
MSTR looks like a rugged shitcoin CTO filling the wick but it's 30 years of price action.
โ billy walsh (@reaIityobserver)
7:19 PM โข Nov 7, 2024
MLOps Community Meetup: The shift from Models to AI systems
๐๏ธ November 13, 2024 6:30 PM
Legal & Regulation Blockchain Paperthon
๐๏ธ November 15, 2024 10:00 AM
Dyno Winter Bash - A Festive Edition
๐๏ธ November 16, 2024 2:00 PM
Looking for collaborations or an entry into the Web3 Community?
Vicky & Marvin are Web3-obsessed. That's why they host a weekly podcast featuring updates and cool stuff.
Don't miss out on any news, updates, & vibes anymore. Discord is so yesterday. Let's meet on Telegram.